SVV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SVV - Savers Value Village, Inc.
$9.97
-0.04 (-0.40%)
▼
5d:
-4.23%
30d:
+12.02%
90d:
+34.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SVV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SVV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.14
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.64
6.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SVV is currently trading at $9.97, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.00 to $10.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.95 (+39.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.95 (+39.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$9.00 -
$10.11
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
4th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 4th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.9% below Wall St target ($13.95)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.00 -
$10.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.03
(10.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.33
Resistance Level
$9.64
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.94
Wall Street Target
$13.95
(+39.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.17
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$10.37
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$10.58
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.99
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.8%)
$23.17
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 21.8%)
$18.02
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 21.8%)
$15.32
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 13.79 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.72
Bull Case
$12.04
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$9.97
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$7.63
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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