SVV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SVV - Savers Value Village, Inc.
$7.13
-0.16 (-2.19%)
▼
5d:
-11.54%
30d:
-14.81%
90d:
-36.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
SVV is down 11.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $7.5 2026-07-17 with 73 OI. Call ratio: 88% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SVV is down 11.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SVV is down 11.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.35
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.77
33.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SVV is currently trading at $7.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.86 to $8.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 100% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.95 (+95.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SVV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.95 (+95.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.86 -
$8.70
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 95.7% below Wall St target ($13.95)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.86 -
$8.70
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.96
Resistance Level
$8.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.09
Wall Street Target
$13.95
(+95.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 16.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.49
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$5.90
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$5.37
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→16)
$7.15
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 22.0%)
$23.64
(+232%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 22.0%)
$12.95
(+82%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 22.0%)
$11.01
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.79 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.52
Bull Case
$8.61
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$7.13
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$5.45
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 16.1
Stabilization Target:
$9.49
(+33.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jubran N Tanious
SELL
57706 shares
2025-12-18
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