SWIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWIM - Latham Group, Inc. Common Stock
$6.29
-0.10 (-1.56%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SWIM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SWIM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWIM is currently trading at $6.29, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.26 to $6.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.6) is in line with its historical norms (35.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWIM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SWIM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (6th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+23.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWIM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SWIM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (6th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+23.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$6.26 -
$6.70
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
6th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SWIM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 6th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.2% below Wall St target ($7.75)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.4% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.26 -
$6.70
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.54
(8.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.21
Resistance Level
$6.89
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.58
Wall Street Target
$7.75
(+23.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.2%
Profit Margin
-2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.6 vs 35.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.21
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$6.13
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$6.05
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→36)
$6.28
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.6, Growth: 75.7%)
$21.23
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 75.7%)
$13.69
(+118%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 75.7%)
$11.64
(+85%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.6 to 35.9
Stabilization Target:
$6.53
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 3:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SWIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Frank J Dellaquila
BUY
5000 shares
2025-08-22
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Advanced SWIM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SWIM price and gamma walls.
