TAP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TAP - Molson Coors Beverage Company Class B
$48.04
0.47 (0.99%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TAP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TAP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.84
Based on 3.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.67
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TAP is currently trading at $48.04, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.45 to $49.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAP is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$46.45 -
$49.47
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($51.10)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$46.45 -
$49.47
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.36
Resistance Level
$50.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.62
Wall Street Target
$51.10
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Profit Margin
-18.6%
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.57
(0%)
2-Year Target
$47.57
(0%)
3-Year Target
$47.57
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.48
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 2.6%)
$132.90
(+179%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 2.6%)
$51.35
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 2.6%)
$43.65
(-8%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TAP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-09-25
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2025-09-05
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2025-08-05
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Advanced TAP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TAP price and gamma walls.
