TBLA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TBLA - Taboola.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$4.92
-0.01 (-0.20%)
▼
5d:
-1.4%
30d:
+32.26%
90d:
+51.38%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
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1 traders called TBLA this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TBLA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TBLA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.32
Based on -24.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TBLA is currently trading at $4.92, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.63 to $4.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (22.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 77.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TBLA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.79 (+17.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TBLA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.79 (+17.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$3.63 -
$4.95
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($5.79)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.63 -
$4.95
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.80
Resistance Level
$5.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.85
Wall Street Target
$5.79
(+17.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
77.1%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 22.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.44
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.01
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.62
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→23)
$4.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -53.7%)
$4.68
(+-5%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: -53.7%)
$3.59
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: -53.7%)
$3.05
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36
Bull Case
$4.40
(-11%)
Analyst growth -18.9%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case
$4.00
(-19%)
Market implied -18.9%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$3.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 22.9
Stabilization Target:
$6.69
(+35.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 6:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TBLA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TBLA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TBLA price and gamma walls.
