TDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TDS - Telephone and Data Systems Inc.

TELEPHONE COMMUNICATIONS (NO RADIOTELEPHONE)
$41.86
-0.37 (-0.88%) ▼
5d: -8.0%
30d: -6.31%
90d: -10.59%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

TDS is down 8.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $50 2026-06-18 with 299 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TDS trades at premium valuation expecting 8.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.06
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.00
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TDS is currently trading at $41.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.03 to $45.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 182.0) compared to its historical average (142.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TDS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.50 (+27.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $44.03 - $45.91
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 82.9%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 27.8% below Wall St target ($53.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.4% growth with 6.5% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.0% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $44.03 - $45.91
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $41.34
Resistance Level $49.12
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 182.00
Wall Street Target $53.50 (+27.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -11.8%
Profit Margin 10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.4% premium
PE vs Historical 182.0 vs 142.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $45.38 (+8%)
2-Year Target $49.19 (+18%)
3-Year Target $53.32 (+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 182→143) PE COMPRESSION $41.81 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 24.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.70
Bull Case $23.23 (-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 27.3
Base Case $21.12 (-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 24.8
Bear Case $28.72 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced TDS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TDS price and gamma walls.

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