TDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDS - Telephone and Data Systems Inc.
$36.19
-0.90 (-2.43%)
▼
5d:
-2.82%
30d:
-9.77%
90d:
-18.01%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TDS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TDS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.19
Based on -39.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDS is currently trading at $36.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.87 to $39.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 158.4) is in line with its historical norms (147.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.50 (+39.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.50 (+39.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$37.87 -
$39.95
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.5% below Wall St target ($50.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 6.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.87 -
$39.95
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.49
Resistance Level
$40.55
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
158.45
Wall Street Target
$50.50
(+39.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.8%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
158.5 vs 147.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.02
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$37.87
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$38.74
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 158→148)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.17
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 158.5, Growth: -83.3%)
$26.38
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -83.3%)
$3.63
(-90%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -83.3%)
$3.08
(-92%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.70
Bull Case
$20.40
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$18.54
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$25.22
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 9:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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