TEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEX - Terex Corporation
$64.21
-2.40 (-3.60%)
▼
5d:
-11.3%
30d:
+6.27%
90d:
+7.7%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TEX is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TEX is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.94
Based on 11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.16
1.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEX is currently trading at $64.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.70 to $70.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.29 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.29 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$61.70 -
$70.27
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($77.29)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with 41.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.70 -
$70.27
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.55
Resistance Level
$65.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.47
Wall Street Target
$77.29
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.2%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.54
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$70.53
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$72.57
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$66.43
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.2%)
$214.19
(+222%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 19.2%)
$112.80
(+69%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 19.2%)
$95.88
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case
$153.08
(+130%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.3
Base Case
$139.16
(+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.9
Bear Case
$47.31
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 08, 2026 1:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kieran Hegarty
SELL
11980 shares
2026-02-17
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