TH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TH - Target Hospitality Corp. Common Stock

HOTELS, ROOMING HOUSES, CAMPS & OTHER LODGING PLACES
$18.66
0.32 (1.74%) ▲
5d: +21.72%
30d: +27.2%
90d: +160.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your TH Gains
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

TH is up 20.2% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $15 2026-06-18 with 2,283 OI. Put ratio: 71% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: TH is 18.9% above its trading range ($15.69). Market expects -15.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.17
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.01
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TH is currently trading at $18.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.94 to $15.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.0) compared to its historical average (45.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: TH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+17.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $13.94 - $15.69
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 50.0%

Protect Your Profits

TH is technically overbought (RSI 76). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+18.9% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.00)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 18.9% overvaluation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.94 - $15.69
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.48
Resistance Level $18.48
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 27.04
Wall Street Target $22.00 (+17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -59.1%
Profit Margin -13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -15.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 27.0 vs 45.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -15.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.79 (-10%)
2-Year Target $15.11 (-19%)
3-Year Target $13.60 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→45) $22.69 (+22%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.0 to 45.1
Stabilization Target: $31.12 (+66.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +66.8%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Heidi Diane Lewis SELL 9000 shares 2026-01-20
Heidi Diane Lewis SELL 13456 shares 2025-12-15
Stephen Robertson BUY 125000 shares 2025-12-03

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Advanced TH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TH price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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