THRM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THRM - Gentherm Inc
$31.96
-3.88 (-10.83%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
Get Alerted When THRM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: THRM is down 12.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: THRM is down 12.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.25
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.20
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THRM is currently trading at $31.96, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.79 to $38.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.60 (+27.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.60 (+27.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$35.79 -
$38.45
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding THRM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.2% below Wall St target ($45.60)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$35.79 -
$38.45
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.21
Resistance Level
$38.30
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.70
Wall Street Target
$45.60
(+27.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.66
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$35.48
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$35.31
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$35.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.4%)
$76.36
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 9.4%)
$46.92
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 9.4%)
$39.88
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.99
Bull Case
$79.29
(+148%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.0
Base Case
$72.08
(+126%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.4
Bear Case
$24.51
(-23%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$36.36
(+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is THRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Barbara J Runyon
SELL
3348 shares
2025-08-21
Top Rated Auto Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AZO
AutoZone Inc |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$4213 | 66 BUY |
|
ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$109 | 67 BUY |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc. Cla… |
BUY
28 analysts |
$17 | 50 HOLD |
|
APTV
Aptiv PLC |
BUY
22 analysts |
$102 | 60 HOLD |
|
BWA
BorgWarner Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$51 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced THRM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's THRM price and gamma walls.
