TIMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TIMB - TIM S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 5 Common Shares)
$22.17
0.25 (1.14%)
▲
5d:
-4.93%
30d:
-17.37%
90d:
-15.58%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TIMB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TIMB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.14
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.93
11.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TIMB is currently trading at $22.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.63 to $27.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TIMB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.65 (+20.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TIMB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.65 (+20.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.63 -
$27.19
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.2% below Wall St target ($26.65)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.63 -
$27.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.90
Resistance Level
$27.33
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.68
Wall Street Target
$26.65
(+20.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 13.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.55
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$19.05
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$17.66
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$22.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 11.3%)
$63.30
(+186%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 11.3%)
$30.60
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 11.3%)
$26.01
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.78
Bull Case
$28.11
(+27%)
Analyst growth 16.6%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$25.56
(+15%)
Market implied 16.6%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$14.91
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$27.81
(+25.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TIMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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