TIMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TIMB - TIM S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing 5 Common Shares)
$21.71
0.38 (1.78%)
▲
5d:
-0.96%
30d:
-1.68%
90d:
-18.75%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TIMB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TIMB trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.39
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.81
24.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TIMB is currently trading at $21.71, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.33 to $22.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TIMB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.43 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TIMB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TIMB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.43 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.33 -
$22.16
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($26.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.33 -
$22.16
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.17
Resistance Level
$22.61
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.99
Wall Street Target
$26.43
(+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 12.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.13
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$18.66
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$17.29
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$21.80
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.5%)
$78.70
(+263%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 18.5%)
$36.11
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 18.5%)
$30.70
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.73
Bull Case
$29.46
(+36%)
Analyst growth 25.6%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$26.78
(+23%)
Market implied 25.6%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$14.50
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$27.37
(+26.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TIMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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