TPG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TPG - TPG Inc. Class A Common Stock
$41.43
0.93 (2.30%)
▲
5d:
+3.52%
30d:
-2.26%
90d:
+6.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TPG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TPG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.36
40.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TPG is currently trading at $41.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.18 to $42.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.75, while resistance sits at $44.75.
Market Sentiment: TPG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.00 (+35.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TPG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $39.75, while resistance sits at $44.75.
Market Sentiment: TPG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.00 (+35.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$40.18 -
$42.98
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TPG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.2% below Wall St target ($56.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.18 -
$42.98
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.75
Resistance Level
$44.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.27
Wall Street Target
$56.00
(+35.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-56.8%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 15.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.29
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$33.56
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$30.20
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→16)
$41.82
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 27.4%)
$165.43
(+299%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 27.4%)
$85.57
(+107%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 27.4%)
$72.74
(+76%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.31 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.90
Bull Case
$50.03
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$41.43
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$31.69
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 15.6
Stabilization Target:
$57.37
(+38.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TPG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TPG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TPG price and gamma walls.
