TRAK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRAK - ReposiTrak, Inc.
$9.70
0.60 (6.59%)
▲
5d:
-5.18%
30d:
+23.57%
90d:
-5.73%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 18, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TRAK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TRAK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.08
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.99
2.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRAK is currently trading at $9.70, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.82 to $9.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.1) is in line with its historical norms (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRAK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.94, while resistance sits at $10.54. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+64.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRAK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.94, while resistance sits at $10.54. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+64.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$7.82 -
$9.76
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 64.9% below Wall St target ($16.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.82 -
$9.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.94
Resistance Level
$10.54
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.10
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+64.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.6%
Profit Margin
30.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.1 vs 23.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.64
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$9.58
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$9.53
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→24)
$9.69
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.1, Growth: 16.7%)
$15.40
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 16.7%)
$14.72
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 16.7%)
$12.51
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case
$11.36
(+17%)
Analyst growth 13.5%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$10.33
(+7%)
Market implied 13.5%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$6.19
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.1 to 23.5
Stabilization Target:
$9.87
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRAK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Randall K Fields
SELL
7500 shares
2026-03-23
Randall K Fields
SELL
1428 shares
2026-03-17
Randall K Fields
SELL
6072 shares
2026-03-16
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