TRIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRIN - Trinity Capital Inc. Common Stock
$16.25
0.07 (0.43%)
▲
5d:
+1.31%
30d:
+13.08%
90d:
-4.24%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
6d
Get Alerted When TRIN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.66
12.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRIN is currently trading at $16.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.45 to $15.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRIN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $16.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRIN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRIN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $16.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRIN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$14.45 -
$15.63
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.83)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with 17.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.45 -
$15.63
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.37
Resistance Level
$16.32
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.76
Wall Street Target
$16.83
(+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.5%
Profit Margin
48.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.46
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$16.73
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$17.02
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.23
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 54.5%)
$43.69
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 54.5%)
$16.45
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 54.5%)
$13.98
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.96
Bull Case
$18.62
(+15%)
Analyst growth 6.4%, PE expands to 8.9
Base Case
$16.93
(+5%)
Market implied 6.4%, PE stable at 8.1
Bear Case
$10.82
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 11:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TRIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
18
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ronald E Estes
BUY
800 shares
2026-03-16
Kyle Steven Brown
BUY
3532 shares
2026-03-16
Steve Louis Brown
BUY
27109 shares
2026-03-12
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co LP |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$123 | 64 BUY |
|
APO
Apollo Global Management… |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$139 | 64 BUY |
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1254 | 57 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$46 | 62 BUY |
|
ARCC
Ares Capital Corporation |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$22 | 65 BUY |
