TRNS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRNS - Transcat Inc
$75.17
-2.19 (-2.83%)
▼
5d:
-1.42%
30d:
-1.7%
90d:
-0.79%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 18, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRNS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRNS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.05
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRNS is currently trading at $75.17, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.61 to $80.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 36.4) compared to its historical average (32.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.59, while resistance sits at $78.58.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.33 (+34.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.59, while resistance sits at $78.58.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.33 (+34.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$74.61 -
$80.54
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.8% below Wall St target ($101.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with 25.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.61 -
$80.54
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.59
Resistance Level
$78.58
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.40
Wall Street Target
$101.33
(+34.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-61.1%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
36.4 vs 32.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.88
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$80.68
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$83.58
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→33)
PE COMPRESSION
$75.08
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.4, Growth: 13.9%)
$111.17
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$67.40
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$57.29
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 41.32 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.82
Bull Case
$90.77
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 43.4
Base Case
$75.17
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 41.3
Bear Case
$57.51
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 37.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 2:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRNS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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