TRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRS - Trimas Corporation
$41.32
0.30 (0.73%)
▲
5d:
+5.49%
30d:
+3.48%
90d:
+17.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.66
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.77
29.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRS is currently trading at $41.32, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.96 to $41.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6895.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$38.96 -
$41.40
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.96 -
$41.40
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.79
Resistance Level
$41.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.04
Wall Street Target
$45.00
(+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6895.6%
Profit Margin
137.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 22.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.17
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$37.13
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$35.20
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→22)
$41.41
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 29.7%)
$103.80
(+151%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 29.7%)
$90.17
(+118%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.2, Growth: 29.7%)
$76.64
(+86%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 24.10 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.71
Bull Case
$49.89
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$41.32
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$31.61
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 22.4
Stabilization Target:
$48.61
(+17.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 5:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Daniel P Tredwell
BUY
60 shares
2026-03-05
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