TRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRS - Trimas Corporation
$36.78
-0.80 (-2.13%)
▼
5d:
-1.47%
30d:
+3.11%
90d:
+6.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.00
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.61
38.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRS is currently trading at $36.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.88 to $38.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.7) compared to its historical average (23.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1360.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.00 (+22.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.00 (+22.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$35.88 -
$38.11
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.3% below Wall St target ($45.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.88 -
$38.11
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.68
Resistance Level
$39.08
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.68
Wall Street Target
$45.00
(+22.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-31.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1360.7%
Profit Margin
18.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 23.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.40
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$30.32
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$27.53
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→24)
$36.90
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 32.4%)
$99.40
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 32.4%)
$85.28
(+132%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 32.4%)
$72.49
(+97%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.78
Bull Case
$48.31
(+31%)
Analyst growth 16.9%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$43.91
(+19%)
Market implied 16.9%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$25.55
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 23.7
Stabilization Target:
$49.30
(+34.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 2:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Daniel P Tredwell
BUY
60 shares
2026-03-05
Daniel P Tredwell
BUY
74 shares
2025-11-12
Jeffrey A Fielkow
BUY
2000 shares
2025-11-11
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