TSQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TSQ - TOWNSQUARE MEDIA, INC.

RADIO BROADCASTING STATIONS
$6.45
0.09 (1.42%) ▲
5d: -2.27%
30d: -2.86%
90d: -4.44%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TSQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 26.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.88
Based on -20.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.55
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TSQ is currently trading at $6.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.12 to $6.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.2) compared to its historical average (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 26.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TSQ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+93.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $6.12 - $6.88
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 93.8% below Wall St target ($12.50)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 26.6% growth expectation is conservative given 177% recent growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $6.12 - $6.88
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.29
Resistance Level $7.47
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.24
Wall Street Target $12.50 (+93.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 176.7%
Profit Margin -1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +26.6% premium
PE vs Historical 22.2 vs 11.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +26.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $8.17 (+27%)
2-Year Target $10.34 (+60%)
3-Year Target $13.09 (+103%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→11) PE COMPRESSION $6.47 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.2, Growth: -45.3%) $4.70 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: -45.3%) $4.66 (-28%)
Bear: (PE: 11.0, Growth: -45.3%) $2.33 (-64%)
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:37 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Schatz SELL 28980 shares 2026-03-19
Scott Schatz BUY 980 shares 2026-02-02
Erik Hellum SELL 6522 shares 2026-01-20

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