TTE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TTE - TotalEnergies SE

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
$92.28
0.86 (0.94%) ▲
5d: +4.29%
30d: +1.7%
90d: +20.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TTE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.78
Based on -3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.51
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TTE is currently trading at $92.28, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.68 to $92.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 57.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TTE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $93.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $88.68 - $92.46
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($97.19)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $88.68 - $92.46
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $87.73
Resistance Level $93.61
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.89
Wall Street Target $97.19 (+5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 57.1%
Profit Margin 8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.9 vs 10.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $87.67 (-5%)
2-Year Target $83.28 (-10%)
3-Year Target $79.12 (-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $92.61 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: -11.8%) $167.10 (+81%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: -11.8%) $67.27 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 7.6, Growth: -11.8%) $57.18 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.74
Bull Case $155.16 (+68%)
Analyst growth 54.1%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case $141.05 (+53%)
Market implied 54.1%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case $62.25 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 10.4
Stabilization Target: $108.01 (+17.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +17.0%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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