TXT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TXT - Textron, Inc.
$92.50
0.57 (0.62%)
▲
5d:
+3.86%
30d:
+1.24%
90d:
+4.04%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
Get Alerted When TXT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TXT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TXT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.81
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TXT is currently trading at $92.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.09 to $93.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $94.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TXT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.26 (+11.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TXT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $94.47. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TXT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.26 (+11.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$89.09 -
$93.16
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($103.26)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.09 -
$93.16
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.94
Resistance Level
$94.47
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.69
Wall Street Target
$103.26
(+11.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Profit Margin
6.2%
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 12.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.50
(0%)
2-Year Target
$92.50
(0%)
3-Year Target
$92.50
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$92.59
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$223.23
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 12.0%)
$130.04
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$110.53
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.24
Bull Case
$140.70
(+52%)
Analyst growth 39.1%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case
$127.91
(+38%)
Market implied 39.1%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$62.51
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 1:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
E Robert Lupone
SELL
28056 shares
2026-02-17
Mark S Bamford
SELL
19808 shares
2026-02-17
Julie G Duffy
SELL
19857 shares
2026-02-13
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$270 | 65 BUY |
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$305 | 59 HOLD |
|
RTX
RTX Corporation |
BUY
24 analysts |
$216 | 69 BUY |
|
TDG
Transdigm Group Incorpor… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$1525 | 60 BUY |
|
LHX
L3Harris Technologies Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$382 | 63 BUY |
Advanced TXT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TXT price and gamma walls.
