TZOO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TZOO - Travelzoo Common Stock
$5.66
-0.04 (-0.70%)
▼
5d:
-9.29%
30d:
-12.25%
90d:
-19.26%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
TZOO is down 4.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $5 2026-06-18 with 129 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TZOO trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: TZOO trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.00
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.59
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TZOO is currently trading at $5.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.86 to $6.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.9) compared to its historical average (5.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TZOO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.49, while resistance sits at $6.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+253.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TZOO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.49, while resistance sits at $6.62.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+253.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$5.86 -
$6.63
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
30th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TZOO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 253.4% below Wall St target ($20.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.2% growth with 8.7% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.3% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.86 -
$6.63
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.65
(11.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.49
Resistance Level
$6.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.86
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+253.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.2%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.2% premium
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 5.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.07
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$6.50
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$6.97
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$5.69
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 52.1%)
$62.23
(+1000%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 52.1%)
$19.10
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 52.1%)
$15.59
(+176%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.41
Bull Case
$13.71
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$12.46
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$4.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TZOO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Holger Bartel
BUY
40000 shares
2026-02-24
Holger Bartel
BUY
100000 shares
2026-02-23
Holger Bartel
BUY
60000 shares
2026-02-20
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Advanced TZOO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TZOO price and gamma walls.
