TZOO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TZOO - Travelzoo Common Stock
$5.85
-0.07 (-1.18%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TZOO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TZOO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.28
29.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TZOO is currently trading at $5.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.92 to $6.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.6) compared to its historical average (5.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TZOO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.58, while resistance sits at $6.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Implied Volatility is high (100th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.25 (+275.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TZOO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.58, while resistance sits at $6.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Implied Volatility is high (100th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.25 (+275.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$5.92 -
$6.94
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
100th percentile
(EVENT RISK)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 100th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 275.8% below Wall St target ($22.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.92 -
$6.94
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.04
(17.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.58
Resistance Level
$6.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.58
Wall Street Target
$22.25
(+275.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.2%
Profit Margin
8.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.6 vs 5.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.63
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$5.35
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$5.09
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$5.89
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 147.0%)
$97.28
(+1543%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.6, Growth: 147.0%)
$19.98
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.9, Growth: 147.0%)
$16.98
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.66
Bull Case
$12.49
(+114%)
Analyst growth 95.8%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case
$11.36
(+94%)
Market implied 95.8%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$3.94
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.6 to 5.3
Stabilization Target:
$6.85
(+15.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.7%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TZOO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
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Advanced TZOO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TZOO price and gamma walls.
