UAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UAL - United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$102.32
-1.62 (-1.56%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 14, 2026
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4 traders called UAL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.91
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.02
15.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UAL is currently trading at $102.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.53 to $116.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.7) compared to its historical average (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $101.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.77 (+35.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $101.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.77 (+35.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$107.53 -
$116.05
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding UAL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.6% below Wall St target ($138.77)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.0% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$107.53 -
$116.05
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$101.31
Resistance Level
$116.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.70
Wall Street Target
$138.77
(+35.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 8.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.77
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$89.64
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$83.91
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$102.76
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.6%)
$513.45
(+402%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 14.6%)
$154.16
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 14.6%)
$131.03
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.20
Bull Case
$172.90
(+69%)
Analyst growth 49.8%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$157.18
(+54%)
Market implied 49.8%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$71.34
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$125.31
(+22.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.5%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
9000 shares
2025-08-12
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SELL
29953 shares
2025-08-12
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SELL
6343 shares
2025-08-12
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Advanced UAL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UAL price and gamma walls.
