UDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UDR - UDR, Inc.
$37.46
0.54 (1.46%)
▲
5d:
+0.83%
30d:
+6.18%
90d:
-1.42%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
UDR is up 3.3% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $40 2026-07-17 with 4 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UDR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UDR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.03
Based on -13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UDR is currently trading at $37.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.89 to $37.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 62.4) is in line with its historical norms (66.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 151.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UDR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UDR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$34.89 -
$37.03
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding UDR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.26)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.89 -
$37.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.47
Resistance Level
$37.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
62.43
Wall Street Target
$40.26
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
151.6%
Profit Margin
27.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
62.4 vs 66.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.75
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$36.05
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$35.37
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 62→66)
$37.44
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 62.4, Growth: -30.4%)
$27.31
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: -30.4%)
$9.67
(-74%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: -30.4%)
$8.22
(-78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 25.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$20.31
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 27.6
Base Case
$18.46
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 25.1
Bear Case
$25.11
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 62.4 to 66.1
Stabilization Target:
$39.66
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 7:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced UDR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UDR price and gamma walls.
