UDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UDR - UDR, Inc.
$41.09
0.47 (1.16%)
▲
5d:
+5.09%
30d:
+11.54%
90d:
+20.01%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
25d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UDR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: UDR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.69
Based on -15.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UDR is currently trading at $41.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.54 to $39.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 73.4) compared to its historical average (66.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UDR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UDR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UDR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.54 -
$39.78
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
UDR is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.54 -
$39.78
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.41
Resistance Level
$39.48
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
73.38
Wall Street Target
$40.62
(-1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
151.6%
Profit Margin
27.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
73.4 vs 66.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.57
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$44.10
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$45.69
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 73→66)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 73.4, Growth: -34.7%)
$29.95
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -34.7%)
$8.89
(-78%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -34.7%)
$7.56
(-82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.47
Bull Case
$22.34
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 30.4
Base Case
$20.31
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 27.6
Bear Case
$27.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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