ULCC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ULCC - Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED
$4.64
-0.35 (-7.01%) ▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 06, 2026 5d
Smart Money Accumulation

ULCC is down 11.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $6 2026-04-17 with 889 OI. Call ratio: 98% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ULCC is down 11.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ULCC is currently trading at $4.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.73 to $5.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -445.5) compared to its historical average (86.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ULCC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.56 (+11.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $4.73 - $5.17
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($5.56)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $4.73 - $5.17
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.72
Resistance Level $5.52
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -445.54
Wall Street Target $5.56 (+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -55.4%
Profit Margin -3.6%
PE vs Historical -445.5 vs 86.2 CHEAP
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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Advanced ULCC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ULCC price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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