UMH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UMH - UMH Properties, Inc.
$15.52
0.24 (1.57%)
▲
5d:
+2.65%
30d:
+3.47%
90d:
+6.16%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UMH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UMH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UMH is currently trading at $15.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.00 to $15.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 90.0) compared to its historical average (101.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UMH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.43 (+25.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UMH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.43 (+25.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.00 -
$15.41
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.2% below Wall St target ($19.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.00 -
$15.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.74
Resistance Level
$15.73
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
89.97
Wall Street Target
$19.43
(+25.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.2%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
90.0 vs 101.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.91
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$14.33
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$13.77
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 90→102)
$15.54
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 90.0, Growth: 23.2%)
$29.03
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.2%)
$7.03
(-55%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 23.2%)
$5.97
(-62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (127x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (90x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 126.58 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.12
Bull Case
$18.74
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 132.9
Base Case
$15.52
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 126.6
Bear Case
$11.87
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 113.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 90.0 to 101.5
Stabilization Target:
$17.51
(+12.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UMH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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