UMH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UMH - UMH Properties, Inc.
$14.92
-0.28 (-1.84%)
▼
5d:
-5.69%
30d:
-1.52%
90d:
-7.27%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UMH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UMH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UMH is currently trading at $14.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.15 to $15.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 82.9) compared to its historical average (105.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.43 (+30.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMH is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.43 (+30.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.15 -
$15.73
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.2% below Wall St target ($19.43)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.15 -
$15.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.87
Resistance Level
$16.14
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
82.89
Wall Street Target
$19.43
(+30.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.2%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
82.9 vs 105.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.76
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$12.68
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$11.69
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 83→106)
$14.94
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 82.9, Growth: 30.4%)
$33.11
(+122%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 30.4%)
$8.82
(-41%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 30.4%)
$7.49
(-50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (132x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (83x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 131.58 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.11
Bull Case
$18.02
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 138.2
Base Case
$14.92
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 131.6
Bear Case
$11.41
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 118.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 82.9 to 105.9
Stabilization Target:
$19.06
(+27.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UMH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey A Carus
BUY
66 shares
2025-12-15
William Edward Mitchell
BUY
2000 shares
2025-11-24
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