USLM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
USLM - United States Lime & Minerals
$104.00
-3.53 (-3.28%)
▼
5d:
-5.47%
30d:
-22.17%
90d:
-4.11%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: USLM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: USLM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$223.69
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$138.90
25.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: USLM is currently trading at $104.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $110.14 to $136.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.8) compared to its historical average (23.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USLM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $103.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.00 (+32.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, USLM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $103.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.00 (+32.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$110.14 -
$136.01
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
29th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding USLM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 29th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.7% below Wall St target ($138.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$110.14 -
$136.01
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.92
(4.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$103.24
Resistance Level
$113.04
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.83
Wall Street Target
$138.00
(+32.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.9%
Profit Margin
35.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 23.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$93.60
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$84.24
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$75.82
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→24)
$107.22
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 13.6%)
$199.97
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$152.48
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 13.6%)
$129.60
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.54
Bull Case
$161.01
(+55%)
Analyst growth 36.1%, PE expands to 26.1
Base Case
$146.37
(+41%)
Market implied 36.1%, PE stable at 23.7
Bear Case
$73.12
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 23.8
Stabilization Target:
$147.08
(+41.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 4:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is USLM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced USLM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's USLM price and gamma walls.