UTL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UTL - Unitil Corporation
$50.16
-0.88 (-1.72%)
▼
5d:
-1.16%
30d:
-6.52%
90d:
-5.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UTL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UTL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.53
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UTL is currently trading at $50.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.87 to $53.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $49.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UTL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.50 (+10.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $49.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UTL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.50 (+10.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$50.87 -
$53.77
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($55.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.87 -
$53.77
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.04
Resistance Level
$53.31
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.29
Wall Street Target
$55.50
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 15.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.06
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$47.98
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$46.92
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$50.24
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 6.0%)
$92.37
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 6.0%)
$59.81
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 6.0%)
$50.84
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.13
Bull Case
$62.96
(+26%)
Analyst growth 12.1%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$57.24
(+14%)
Market implied 12.1%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$34.71
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 15.3
Stabilization Target:
$53.70
(+7.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 4:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UTL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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