UTL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UTL - Unitil Corporation
$53.48
1.03 (1.96%)
▲
5d:
+2.02%
30d:
+8.13%
90d:
+1.19%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UTL is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: UTL is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.64
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UTL is currently trading at $53.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.17 to $52.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $52.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UTL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTL is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $52.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UTL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$50.17 -
$52.68
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.17 -
$52.68
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.39
Resistance Level
$52.54
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.24
Wall Street Target
$55.67
(+4.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.59
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$53.69
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$53.80
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$53.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.0%)
$91.16
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 6.0%)
$63.77
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 6.0%)
$54.21
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.13
Bull Case
$64.70
(+21%)
Analyst growth 12.1%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$58.82
(+10%)
Market implied 12.1%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$35.67
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UTL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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