UTZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UTZ - Utz Brands, Inc.
$8.01
0.21 (2.69%)
▲
5d:
+6.09%
30d:
+8.1%
90d:
-23.57%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UTZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UTZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.19
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UTZ is currently trading at $8.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.48 to $7.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UTZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.14 (+51.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UTZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.14 (+51.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.48 -
$7.81
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.5% below Wall St target ($12.14)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.48 -
$7.81
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.43
Resistance Level
$8.01
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.49
Wall Street Target
$12.14
(+51.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.8%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.73
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$7.46
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$7.20
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$7.96
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 9.2%)
$22.64
(+183%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 9.2%)
$10.43
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 9.2%)
$8.86
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 10.06 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.80
Bull Case
$9.67
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$8.01
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.1
Bear Case
$6.13
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$8.86
(+10.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 12:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
11
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Josh Gottheimer
SELL
2025-12-08
Series R Of Um Partners,…
BUY
1406 shares
2025-11-24
Series R Of Um Partners,…
BUY
12420 shares
2025-11-21
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