UVV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UVV - Universal Corporation
$53.93
0.67 (1.26%)
▲
5d:
+0.32%
30d:
+0.24%
90d:
+1.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UVV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UVV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.03
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UVV is currently trading at $53.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.87 to $54.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.00 (+37.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.00 (+37.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$52.87 -
$54.61
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.2% below Wall St target ($74.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 1.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.87 -
$54.61
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.19
Resistance Level
$55.36
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.26
Wall Street Target
$74.00
(+37.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.3%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.52
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$55.12
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$55.73
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$54.11
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 5.5%)
$113.30
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 5.5%)
$63.35
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 5.5%)
$53.85
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.30
Bull Case
$117.17
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 45.1
Base Case
$106.52
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 41.0
Bear Case
$36.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 14, 2026 11:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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