UVV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UVV - Universal Corporation
$53.97
0.35 (0.65%)
▲
5d:
+4.07%
30d:
+2.31%
90d:
-3.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UVV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UVV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.92
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UVV is currently trading at $53.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.81 to $53.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UVV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+44.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UVV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UVV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.00 (+44.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$51.81 -
$53.41
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.5% below Wall St target ($78.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with -8.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.81 -
$53.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.79
Resistance Level
$54.66
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.27
Wall Street Target
$78.00
(+44.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.3%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.78
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$55.60
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$56.44
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$53.83
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 5.5%)
$106.53
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 5.5%)
$63.40
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 5.5%)
$53.89
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.39
Bull Case
$76.55
(+42%)
Analyst growth 29.8%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$69.60
(+29%)
Market implied 29.8%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$36.46
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 1:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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