VEON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VEON - VEON Ltd. ADS

Radiotelephone Communications
$54.57
0.28 (0.52%) ▲
5d: +9.07%
30d: -0.13%
90d: +3.94%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VEON shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.90
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.54
8.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VEON is currently trading at $54.57, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.66 to $54.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.3) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VEON is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $48.08, while resistance sits at $57.26.

Market Sentiment: VEON has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.64 (+53.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $49.66 - $54.18
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 53.3% below Wall St target ($83.64)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $49.66 - $54.18
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $48.08
Resistance Level $57.26
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.32
Wall Street Target $83.64 (+53.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1.6%
Profit Margin 11.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 6.3 vs 6.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $53.81 (-1%)
2-Year Target $53.05 (-3%)
3-Year Target $52.31 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→7) $54.59 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 18.2%) $314.82 (+477%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 18.2%) $90.10 (+65%)
Bear: (PE: 5.4, Growth: 18.2%) $76.58 (+40%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.50
Bull Case $68.52 (+26%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 7.9
Base Case $62.29 (+14%)
Market implied 15.0%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case $36.82 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 6.6
Stabilization Target: $56.94 (+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.4%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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