VERX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VERX - Vertex, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$12.28
0.17 (1.40%)
▲
5d:
-6.69%
30d:
-3.61%
90d:
-7.67%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VERX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VERX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.02
46.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VERX is currently trading at $12.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.50 to $13.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.54 (+51.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.54 (+51.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.50 -
$13.96
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
29th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VERX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 29th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.0% below Wall St target ($18.54)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.50 -
$13.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.09
(8.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.46
Resistance Level
$14.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.93
Wall Street Target
$18.54
(+51.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-44.0%
Profit Margin
-0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 18.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.05
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.95
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.95
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→19)
$13.88
(+13%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 28.9%)
$48.29
(+293%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 28.9%)
$26.29
(+114%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 28.9%)
$22.34
(+82%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 18.5
Stabilization Target:
$19.04
(+55.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+55.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 5:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VERX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Eric C Andersen
BUY
40000 shares
2026-02-20
Jeffrey Westphal
BUY
150000 shares
2026-02-17
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Advanced VERX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VERX price and gamma walls.
