VERX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VERX - Vertex, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$12.63
0.07 (0.56%) ▲
5d: +1.04%
30d: +11.38%
90d: -34.66%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026 7d
Smart Money Accumulation

VERX is down 4.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $16 2026-06-18 with 224 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VERX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.66
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.04
33.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VERX is currently trading at $12.63, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.50 to $12.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (20.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VERX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.25, while resistance sits at $13.73.

Market Sentiment: VERX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.62 (+47.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $11.50 - $12.60
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 76.2%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 47.4% below Wall St target ($18.62)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.50 - $12.60
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.25
Resistance Level $13.73
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Apr 28, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.35
Wall Street Target $18.62 (+47.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -44.0%
Profit Margin 1.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -10.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.4 vs 20.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -10.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.37 (-10%)
2-Year Target $10.23 (-19%)
3-Year Target $9.21 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→20) $12.96 (+3%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: 19.3%) $30.82 (+144%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 19.3%) $21.47 (+70%)
Bear: (PE: 12.2, Growth: 19.3%) $18.25 (+45%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 20.2
Stabilization Target: $17.77 (+40.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +40.7%
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Last updated: April 29, 2026 5:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23
Eric C Andersen BUY 40000 shares 2026-02-20
Jeffrey Westphal BUY 150000 shares 2026-02-17

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Advanced VERX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VERX price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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