VIRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VIRC - Virco Mfg. Corporation

PUBLIC BLDG & RELATED FURNITURE
$6.33
-0.16 (-2.47%) ▼
5d: -5.1%
30d: +5.32%
90d: +3.26%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 05, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VIRC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.61
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.35
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VIRC is currently trading at $6.33, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.88 to $6.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: VIRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $5.88 - $6.41
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with -9.1% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.1% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $5.88 - $6.41
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.44
Resistance Level $6.17
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.12
Wall Street Target $6.50 (+2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -37.7%
Profit Margin -0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.7% premium
PE vs Historical 8.1 vs 7.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.37 (+1%)
2-Year Target $6.42 (+1%)
3-Year Target $6.46 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) PE COMPRESSION $6.29 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.9%) $22.52 (+256%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 9.9%) $8.39 (+33%)
Bear: (PE: 6.9, Growth: 9.9%) $7.13 (+13%)
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Last updated: July 05, 2026 5:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:56 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Douglas A Virtue BUY 11678 shares 2026-04-15
Robert R Lind BUY 500 shares 2026-04-15
Douglas A Virtue BUY 4349 shares 2026-04-14

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