VIRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VIRC - Virco Mfg. Corporation

PUBLIC BLDG & RELATED FURNITURE
$6.13
-0.04 (-0.65%) ▼
5d: +1.16%
30d: +11.05%
90d: -5.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 05, 2026 27d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VIRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.72
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.42
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VIRC is currently trading at $6.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.87 to $6.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: VIRC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $5.87 - $6.23
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 81.0%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($7.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $5.87 - $6.23
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.96
Resistance Level $6.25
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of May 8, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.91
Wall Street Target $7.00 (+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -37.7%
Profit Margin 1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.9 vs 8.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.15 (0%)
2-Year Target $6.12 (-1%)
3-Year Target $6.10 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) $6.17 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.9%) $22.69 (+268%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 9.9%) $8.18 (+33%)
Bear: (PE: 6.7, Growth: 9.9%) $6.95 (+13%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.16
Bull Case $13.35 (+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.7
Base Case $12.14 (+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.9
Bear Case $4.13 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 8.0
Stabilization Target: $6.24 (+1.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.1%
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Last updated: May 08, 2026 1:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Douglas A Virtue BUY 11678 shares 2026-04-15
Robert R Lind BUY 500 shares 2026-04-15
Douglas A Virtue BUY 4349 shares 2026-04-14

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