VIRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIRC - Virco Mfg. Corporation
$6.13
-0.04 (-0.65%)
▼
5d:
+1.16%
30d:
+11.05%
90d:
-5.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 05, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VIRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VIRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.72
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIRC is currently trading at $6.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.87 to $6.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VIRC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VIRC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$5.87 -
$6.23
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($7.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.87 -
$6.23
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.96
Resistance Level
$6.25
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.91
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.7%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.15
(0%)
2-Year Target
$6.12
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$6.10
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$6.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.9%)
$22.69
(+268%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 9.9%)
$8.18
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 9.9%)
$6.95
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.16
Bull Case
$13.35
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.7
Base Case
$12.14
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.9
Bear Case
$4.13
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$6.24
(+1.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 08, 2026 1:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Douglas A Virtue
BUY
11678 shares
2026-04-15
Robert R Lind
BUY
500 shares
2026-04-15
Douglas A Virtue
BUY
4349 shares
2026-04-14
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