VIRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIRT - Virtu Financial, Inc. Class A
$54.99
1.40 (2.61%)
▲
5d:
+11.0%
30d:
+8.7%
90d:
+46.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
VIRT is down 5.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $55 2026-06-18 with 500 OI. Call ratio: 96% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.5/10
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1 traders called VIRT this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: VIRT is 8.3% above its trading range ($50.79). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: VIRT is 8.3% above its trading range ($50.79). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.21
Based on -2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIRT is currently trading at $54.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.00 to $50.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VIRT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VIRT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$48.00 -
$50.79
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
VIRT is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($51.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.00 -
$50.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.93
Resistance Level
$55.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.39
Wall Street Target
$51.71
(-6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
84.3%
Profit Margin
18.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.8% premium
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.63
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$60.40
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$63.29
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.30
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -8.9%)
$97.69
(+78%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: -8.9%)
$41.60
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: -8.9%)
$35.36
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.04
Bull Case
$58.52
(+6%)
Analyst growth -3.0%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$53.20
(-3%)
Market implied -3.0%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$37.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 8:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joseph Molluso
SELL
200000 shares
2026-02-19
Stephen Cavoli
SELL
28370 shares
2026-02-17
Stephen Cavoli
SELL
30000 shares
2026-02-12
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Advanced VIRT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VIRT price and gamma walls.
