VIV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIV - Telefonica Brasil, S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two (2) Common Shares)
$13.25
0.26 (2.00%)
▲
5d:
-0.9%
30d:
-1.78%
90d:
-18.11%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VIV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VIV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.55
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.48
19.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIV is currently trading at $13.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.92 to $13.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.5) is in line with its historical norms (2.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $12.66, while resistance sits at $13.66.
Market Sentiment: VIV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.94 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $12.66, while resistance sits at $13.66.
Market Sentiment: VIV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.94 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.92 -
$13.37
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.94)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.92 -
$13.37
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.66
Resistance Level
$13.67
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.48
Wall Street Target
$14.94
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.2%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.5 vs 2.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.96
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$12.67
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$12.39
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$13.50
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.3%)
$213.16
(+1509%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.5, Growth: 22.3%)
$24.26
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.1, Growth: 22.3%)
$20.62
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.76
Bull Case
$28.58
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$25.98
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$8.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.5 to 2.7
Stabilization Target:
$14.43
(+8.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 1:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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