VIV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIV - Telefonica Brasil, S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two (2) Common Shares)
$14.28
0.04 (0.28%)
▲
5d:
-7.15%
30d:
-14.23%
90d:
-10.3%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VIV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VIV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.23
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIV is currently trading at $14.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.55 to $16.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.7) is in line with its historical norms (2.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VIV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.88 (+11.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VIV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.88 (+11.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.55 -
$16.59
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($15.88)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.55 -
$16.59
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.19
Resistance Level
$16.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.68
Wall Street Target
$15.88
(+11.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.2%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.7 vs 2.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.22
(0%)
2-Year Target
$14.17
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$14.11
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
$14.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 7.9%)
$147.58
(+934%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.7, Growth: 7.9%)
$17.92
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.3, Growth: 7.9%)
$15.23
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$31.53
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$28.66
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$9.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.7 to 2.7
Stabilization Target:
$14.41
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:49 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is VIV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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