VLRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VLRS - CONTROLADORA VUELA COMPAÑÍA DE AVIACIÓN, S.A.B. DE C.V.

Air Transportation, Scheduled
$9.73
-0.01 (-0.10%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026 22d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VLRS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VLRS is currently trading at $9.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.93 to $9.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 139.5) compared to its historical average (164.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VLRS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: VLRS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $8.93 - $9.57
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.69)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $8.93 - $9.57
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.41
Resistance Level $9.82
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 139.54
Wall Street Target $9.69 (-0.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -84.4%
Profit Margin -2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 139.5 vs 164.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.22 (-5%)
2-Year Target $8.73 (-10%)
3-Year Target $8.27 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 140→164) $9.75 (+0%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 139.5 to 164.4
Stabilization Target: $11.48 (+17.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +17.8%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:21 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced VLRS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VLRS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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