VLRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VLRS - CONTROLADORA VUELA COMPAÑÍA DE AVIACIÓN, S.A.B. DE C.V.
$6.98
0.03 (0.43%)
▲
5d:
-3.46%
30d:
-19.03%
90d:
-24.3%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VLRS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -40.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VLRS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -40.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.02
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.09
13.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VLRS is currently trading at $6.98, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.85 to $9.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.7) compared to its historical average (89.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 40.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VLRS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.75 (+40.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VLRS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.75 (+40.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$6.85 -
$9.11
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.3% below Wall St target ($9.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.85 -
$9.11
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.81
Resistance Level
$7.68
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.69
Wall Street Target
$9.75
(+40.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-91.1%
Profit Margin
-3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-40.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.7 vs 89.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-40.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.26
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$5.63
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.07
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→90)
$24.37
(+251%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.7 to 89.9
Stabilization Target:
$33.42
(+380.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+380.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VLRS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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