VOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VOD - Vodafone Group PLC

Radiotelephone Communications
$15.00
0.32 (2.18%) ▲
5d: -8.09%
30d: -3.1%
90d: -4.21%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.94
Based on -11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.93
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VOD is currently trading at $15.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.25 to $15.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.5) is in line with its historical norms (19.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $13.21. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $15.25 - $15.97
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.3%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 12.0% above Wall St target ($13.21)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 7.3% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.1% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $15.25 - $15.97
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.67
Resistance Level $16.61
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.53
Wall Street Target $13.21 (-12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -15.4%
Profit Margin -1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.4% premium
PE vs Historical 19.5 vs 19.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.06 (+0%)
2-Year Target $15.12 (+1%)
3-Year Target $15.18 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→19) PE COMPRESSION $15.00 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: -26.2%) $12.37 (+-18%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: -26.2%) $10.94 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 16.6, Growth: -26.2%) $9.29 (-38%)
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Last updated: May 19, 2026 12:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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