VSEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VSEC - VSE Corp
$179.10
-1.43 (-0.79%)
▼
5d:
-10.2%
30d:
-20.27%
90d:
-11.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When VSEC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VSEC is down 10.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VSEC is down 10.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$282.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$175.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VSEC is currently trading at $179.10, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $174.61 to $213.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 30.8) compared to its historical average (39.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSEC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $164.36, while resistance sits at $212.58.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $248.50 (+38.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSEC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $164.36, while resistance sits at $212.58.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $248.50 (+38.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$174.61 -
$213.70
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.7% below Wall St target ($248.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$174.61 -
$213.70
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$164.36
Resistance Level
$212.58
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.82
Wall Street Target
$248.50
(+38.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.0%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
30.8 vs 39.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$164.77
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$151.59
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$139.46
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→40)
$179.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.8, Growth: 29.8%)
$391.77
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 29.8%)
$280.13
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 29.8%)
$238.11
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 45.45 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.94
Bull Case
$216.26
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 47.7
Base Case
$179.10
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 45.5
Bear Case
$137.01
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 40.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.8 to 39.6
Stabilization Target:
$230.10
(+28.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is VSEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Markwayne Mullin
BUY
2026-02-04
Markwayne Mullin
BUY
2026-01-05
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
BUY
30 analysts |
$270 | 62 BUY |
|
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$296 | 62 BUY |
|
LHX
L3Harris Technologies Inc |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$384 | 63 BUY |
|
TDG
Transdigm Group Incorpor… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$1532 | 61 BUY |
|
RTX
Raytheon Technologies Co… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$216 | 61 BUY |
