VSEC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VSEC - VSE Corp
$232.33
3.58 (1.57%)
▲
5d:
+3.86%
30d:
+28.94%
90d:
+21.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VSEC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VSEC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$278.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$172.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VSEC is currently trading at $232.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $177.62 to $218.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 40.6) is in line with its historical norms (38.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSEC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $187.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VSEC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSEC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $187.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VSEC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$177.62 -
$218.88
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($255.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.2% growth with 26.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$177.62 -
$218.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$167.95
Resistance Level
$187.72
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.61
Wall Street Target
$255.67
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.0%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
40.6 vs 38.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$237.44
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$242.66
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$248.00
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 41→38)
PE COMPRESSION
$232.70
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.6, Growth: 31.5%)
$528.57
(+128%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 31.5%)
$283.51
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 31.5%)
$240.98
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (57x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (41x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 57.47 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.04
Bull Case
$280.54
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 60.3
Base Case
$232.33
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 57.5
Bear Case
$177.73
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 51.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VSEC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Markwayne Mullin
BUY
2026-02-04
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