WDFC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WDFC - Wd-40 Co
$201.37
-0.50 (-0.25%)
▼
5d:
-3.21%
30d:
-1.11%
90d:
-17.71%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 09, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WDFC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WDFC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$204.67
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$127.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDFC is currently trading at $201.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $204.21 to $218.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.6) is in line with its historical norms (33.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDFC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $198.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WDFC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $249.50 (+23.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDFC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $198.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WDFC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $249.50 (+23.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$204.21 -
$218.94
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.9% below Wall St target ($249.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$204.21 -
$218.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$198.35
Resistance Level
$212.76
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.61
Wall Street Target
$249.50
(+23.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.5%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.6 vs 33.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$197.14
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$193.00
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$188.95
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→34)
$201.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.6, Growth: 6.3%)
$242.18
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 6.3%)
$169.08
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 6.3%)
$143.71
(-29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.89
Bull Case
$237.41
(+18%)
Analyst growth 8.1%, PE expands to 37.3
Base Case
$215.82
(+7%)
Market implied 8.1%, PE stable at 33.9
Bear Case
$135.70
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.6 to 33.7
Stabilization Target:
$214.67
(+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 5:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDFC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
David Pendarvis
BUY
424 shares
2026-02-05
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