WINA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WINA - Winmark Corp
$424.29
4.20 (1.00%)
▲
5d:
-1.07%
30d:
+13.32%
90d:
-2.03%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WINA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WINA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$434.76
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$269.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WINA is currently trading at $424.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $379.07 to $415.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.9) is in line with its historical norms (32.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $393.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WINA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+28.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $393.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WINA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+28.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$379.07 -
$415.28
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.4% below Wall St target ($545.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with -4.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$379.07 -
$415.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$366.44
Resistance Level
$393.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.94
Wall Street Target
$545.00
(+28.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Profit Margin
48.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
32.9 vs 32.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$425.99
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$427.69
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$429.40
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→33)
PE COMPRESSION
$424.95
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.9, Growth: 8.4%)
$540.71
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.4%)
$357.50
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 8.4%)
$303.87
(-28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.08
Bull Case
$537.17
(+27%)
Analyst growth 16.2%, PE expands to 41.7
Base Case
$488.34
(+15%)
Market implied 16.2%, PE stable at 37.9
Bear Case
$285.66
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is WINA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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