WINA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WINA - Winmark Corp
$351.18
-10.65 (-2.94%)
▼
5d:
-5.95%
30d:
-7.99%
90d:
-22.95%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WINA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WINA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$434.76
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$269.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WINA is currently trading at $351.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $360.11 to $411.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.3) compared to its historical average (33.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $339.93, while resistance sits at $380.15.
Market Sentiment: WINA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+55.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WINA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $339.93, while resistance sits at $380.15.
Market Sentiment: WINA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $545.00 (+55.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$360.11 -
$411.94
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.2% below Wall St target ($545.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$360.11 -
$411.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$339.93
Resistance Level
$380.15
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.27
Wall Street Target
$545.00
(+55.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Profit Margin
48.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.3 vs 33.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$328.70
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$307.67
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$287.98
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→33)
$350.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.3, Growth: 8.4%)
$447.54
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 8.4%)
$362.26
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 8.4%)
$307.92
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.09
Bull Case
$462.26
(+32%)
Analyst growth 16.1%, PE expands to 35.9
Base Case
$420.23
(+20%)
Market implied 16.1%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case
$246.04
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.3 to 33.2
Stabilization Target:
$427.62
(+21.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 3:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WINA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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