WRB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WRB - W.R. Berkley Corporation
$66.45
0.42 (0.64%)
▲
5d:
+1.17%
30d:
+0.27%
90d:
-4.66%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WRB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WRB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$82.63
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WRB is currently trading at $66.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.86 to $67.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WRB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WRB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WRB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $65.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WRB has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$65.86 -
$67.12
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding WRB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($67.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.86 -
$67.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.07
Resistance Level
$67.23
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.75
Wall Street Target
$67.38
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.0%
Profit Margin
12.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.39
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$64.34
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$63.31
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$66.29
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 3.0%)
$116.67
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 3.0%)
$72.71
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 3.0%)
$61.80
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.76
Bull Case
$73.72
(+11%)
Analyst growth 1.5%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$67.02
(+1%)
Market implied 1.5%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case
$44.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$69.57
(+4.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WRB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
19
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
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