YPF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
YPF - YPF Sociedad Anonima
$44.40
-0.56 (-1.25%)
▼
5d:
-2.97%
30d:
-19.73%
90d:
+0.2%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: YPF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: YPF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.95
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: YPF is currently trading at $44.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.85 to $54.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YPF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.37 (+29.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, YPF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.37 (+29.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$47.85 -
$54.71
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.2% below Wall St target ($57.37)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.85 -
$54.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.92
Resistance Level
$56.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.96
Wall Street Target
$57.37
(+29.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-86.0%
Profit Margin
-1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 8.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.89
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$41.43
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$40.02
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$44.23
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.9%)
$148.29
(+234%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 6.9%)
$54.22
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 6.9%)
$46.09
(+4%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.8
Stabilization Target:
$49.06
(+10.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is YPF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mauricio Alejandro Martin
SELL
3430 shares
2026-03-25
Marcelo Gustavo Aldeco
SELL
12719 shares
2026-03-19
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