Z Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Z - Zillow Group, Inc. Class C Capital Stock
$45.28
0.88 (1.98%)
▲
5d:
-0.29%
30d:
+11.83%
90d:
-28.16%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: Z trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: Z trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.83
42.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: Z is currently trading at $45.28, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.91 to $45.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (21.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $42.98, while resistance sits at $48.44.
Market Sentiment: Z has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.83 (+58.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $42.98, while resistance sits at $48.44.
Market Sentiment: Z has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.83 (+58.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$40.91 -
$45.46
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.6% below Wall St target ($71.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.91 -
$45.46
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.98
Resistance Level
$48.44
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.21
Wall Street Target
$71.83
(+58.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 21.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.75
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$36.68
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$33.01
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→22)
$47.52
(+5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 34.0%)
$147.57
(+226%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 34.0%)
$108.86
(+140%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 34.0%)
$92.53
(+104%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 21.28 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.13
Bull Case
$54.68
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.3
Base Case
$45.28
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.3
Bear Case
$34.64
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 21.9
Stabilization Target:
$65.19
(+44.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+44.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 02, 2026 3:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is Z showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeremy Hofmann
SELL
7786 shares
2026-02-18
Dan Spaulding
SELL
5361 shares
2026-02-17
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SELL
13661 shares
2026-02-17
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