Z Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Z - Zillow Group, Inc. Class C Capital Stock
$33.43
0.41 (1.24%)
▲
5d:
+13.67%
30d:
-8.08%
90d:
-17.44%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: Z appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -16.4% annual earnings decline despite 533% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: Z appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -16.4% annual earnings decline despite 533% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.96
51.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: Z is currently trading at $33.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.29 to $35.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: Z has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.50 (+81.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, Z is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: Z has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.50 (+81.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$31.29 -
$35.47
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 81.0% below Wall St target ($60.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.29 -
$35.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.16
Resistance Level
$37.64
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.08
Wall Street Target
$60.50
(+81.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 18.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.09
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$27.08
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$24.37
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→19)
$41.57
(+24%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 30.9%)
$147.41
(+341%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 30.9%)
$74.98
(+124%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 30.9%)
$63.74
(+91%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.01 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.39
Bull Case
$40.37
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$33.43
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$25.57
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$57.03
(+70.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+70.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is Z showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeremy Hofmann
SELL
7786 shares
2026-02-18
Dan Spaulding
SELL
5361 shares
2026-02-17
Jeremy Wacksman
SELL
13661 shares
2026-02-17
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