ZD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZD - Ziff Davis, Inc. Common Stock
$47.21
-1.02 (-2.11%)
▼
5d:
-0.06%
30d:
+13.38%
90d:
+19.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
7d
Smart Money Distribution
ZD is up 3.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $30 2026-06-18 with 481 OI. Put ratio: 94% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ZD trades at premium valuation expecting 17.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ZD trades at premium valuation expecting 17.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.48
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZD is currently trading at $47.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.67 to $46.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (5.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 17.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.75, while resistance sits at $48.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.75, while resistance sits at $48.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$42.67 -
$46.89
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
23th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ZD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($43.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 17.2% growth with -1.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.67 -
$46.89
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.39
(9.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.75
Resistance Level
$48.96
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.25
Wall Street Target
$43.43
(-8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.7%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+17.2% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 5.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+17.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.33
(+17%)
2-Year Target
$64.85
(+37%)
3-Year Target
$76.00
(+61%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.96
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 2.8%)
$128.07
(+171%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 2.8%)
$51.29
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 2.8%)
$31.69
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.15
Bull Case
$106.11
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.1
Base Case
$96.46
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 41.9
Bear Case
$32.80
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 7:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ZD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ZD price and gamma walls.
