ZG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ZG - ZILLOW GROUP INC CLASS A
$33.42
0.77 (2.36%)
▲
5d:
+14.69%
30d:
-8.64%
90d:
-17.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ZG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -16.8% annual earnings decline despite 533% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ZG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -16.8% annual earnings decline despite 533% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.28
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.34
52.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ZG is currently trading at $33.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.33 to $35.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 533.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ZG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.86 (+88.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ZG is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ZG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.86 (+88.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$31.33 -
$35.72
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 88.1% below Wall St target ($62.86)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.33 -
$35.72
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.50
Resistance Level
$38.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.97
Wall Street Target
$62.86
(+88.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
533.3%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 19.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.08
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$27.07
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$24.36
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→19)
$42.41
(+27%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 31.5%)
$151.00
(+352%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 31.5%)
$76.08
(+128%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 31.5%)
$64.67
(+94%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.51 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.30
Bull Case
$40.35
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$33.42
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$25.57
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 19.1
Stabilization Target:
$58.17
(+74.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+74.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ZG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeremy Hofmann
SELL
7786 shares
2026-02-18
Dan Spaulding
SELL
5361 shares
2026-02-17
Jeremy Wacksman
SELL
13661 shares
2026-02-17
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