ACMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACMR - ACM Research, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$61.70
-1.49 (-2.36%)
▼
5d:
+3.09%
30d:
+28.84%
90d:
-4.84%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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1 traders called ACMR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACMR trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ACMR trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.12
0.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACMR is currently trading at $61.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.69 to $58.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.0) compared to its historical average (22.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.47, while resistance sits at $67.66.
Market Sentiment: ACMR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.97 (+17.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.47, while resistance sits at $67.66.
Market Sentiment: ACMR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.97 (+17.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$46.69 -
$58.71
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($73.97)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.2% growth with 34.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.69 -
$58.71
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.47
Resistance Level
$67.66
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.04
Wall Street Target
$73.97
(+17.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.7%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.2% premium
PE vs Historical
28.0 vs 22.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.74
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$72.62
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$77.85
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$63.29
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.0, Growth: 34.4%)
$153.37
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 34.4%)
$120.54
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 34.4%)
$102.46
(+62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.31
Bull Case
$120.02
(+90%)
Analyst growth 72.0%, PE expands to 53.3
Base Case
$109.10
(+73%)
Market implied 72.0%, PE stable at 48.4
Bear Case
$43.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles C Pappis
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-17
Tracy Liu
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-11
Tracy Liu
SELL
45000 shares
2026-03-10
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