ACMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACMR - ACM Research, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$97.77
-19.39 (-16.55%)
▼
5d:
-8.51%
30d:
+6.36%
90d:
+141.65%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACMR trades at premium valuation expecting 17.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ACMR trades at premium valuation expecting 17.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACMR is currently trading at $97.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.25 to $107.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 43.4) compared to its historical average (26.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 17.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $93.13, while resistance sits at $127.19. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 16.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACMR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $93.13, while resistance sits at $127.19. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 16.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACMR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$83.25 -
$107.84
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-16.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($102.14)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 17.6% growth with 34.2% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.25 -
$107.84
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.13
Resistance Level
$127.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
43.39
Wall Street Target
$102.14
(+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.7%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+17.6% premium
PE vs Historical
43.4 vs 26.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+17.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$114.98
(+18%)
2-Year Target
$135.21
(+38%)
3-Year Target
$159.01
(+63%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 43→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$97.85
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 43.4, Growth: 34.4%)
$237.30
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.4%)
$119.12
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 34.4%)
$101.25
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (76x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (43x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 76.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.31
Bull Case
$189.06
(+93%)
Analyst growth 72.0%, PE expands to 83.9
Base Case
$171.87
(+76%)
Market implied 72.0%, PE stable at 76.3
Bear Case
$67.95
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 64.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 1:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles C Pappis
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-17
Tracy Liu
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-11
Tracy Liu
SELL
45000 shares
2026-03-10
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