AIG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AIG - American International Group, Inc.
$77.05
-1.57 (-2.00%)
▼
5d:
+1.24%
30d:
+0.94%
90d:
-3.66%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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1 traders called AIG this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AIG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AIG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.78
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AIG is currently trading at $77.05, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.39 to $78.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AIG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.05 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AIG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.05 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$75.39 -
$78.25
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($88.05)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.39 -
$78.25
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.95
Resistance Level
$78.92
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.66
Wall Street Target
$88.05
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.6%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 9.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.43
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$73.85
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$72.30
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$76.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 10.8%)
$265.75
(+245%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 10.8%)
$104.69
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 10.8%)
$88.99
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.68
Bull Case
$135.42
(+76%)
Analyst growth 56.6%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$123.11
(+60%)
Market implied 56.6%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$53.46
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 9.2
Stabilization Target:
$81.83
(+6.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 25, 2026 7:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AIG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John C Inglis
BUY
14 shares
2025-12-30
Keith Walsh
BUY
5 shares
2025-12-30
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