AKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AKR - Acadia Realty Trust

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$21.27
0.22 (1.05%) ▲
5d: -1.94%
30d: -2.92%
90d: +10.49%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AKR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.42
Based on -12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.12
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AKR is currently trading at $21.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.35 to $22.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 76.0) is in line with its historical norms (74.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.67 (+11.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $21.35 - $22.23
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.67)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $21.35 - $22.23
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $20.79
Resistance Level $22.06
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 75.96
Wall Street Target $23.67 (+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 2060.3%
Profit Margin 11.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.7% premium
PE vs Historical 76.0 vs 74.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $21.42 (+1%)
2-Year Target $21.57 (+1%)
3-Year Target $21.72 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 76→74) PE COMPRESSION $21.24 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 76.0, Growth: -29.1%) $15.51 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -29.1%) $4.45 (-79%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: -29.1%) $3.78 (-82%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 67.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.31
Bull Case $20.91 (-2%)
Analyst growth -9.7%, PE expands to 74.7
Base Case $19.01 (-11%)
Market implied -9.7%, PE stable at 67.9
Bear Case $14.31 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 57.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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