AKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AKR - Acadia Realty Trust
$20.91
-0.26 (-1.23%)
▼
5d:
-3.95%
30d:
-1.69%
90d:
+1.55%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AKR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AKR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.32
Based on -12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AKR is currently trading at $20.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.54 to $21.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 76.0) is in line with its historical norms (74.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $20.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.43 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $20.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.43 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$20.54 -
$21.78
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.54 -
$21.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.88
Resistance Level
$22.27
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
76.04
Wall Street Target
$23.43
(+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2060.3%
Profit Margin
11.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
76.0 vs 74.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.10
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$21.29
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$21.48
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 76→74)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.93
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 76.0, Growth: -29.5%)
$15.24
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: -29.5%)
$4.42
(-79%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: -29.5%)
$3.76
(-82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 68.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.31
Bull Case
$20.66
(-1%)
Analyst growth -11.3%, PE expands to 75.1
Base Case
$18.78
(-10%)
Market implied -11.3%, PE stable at 68.3
Bear Case
$14.40
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 58.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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