APAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APAM - ARTISAN PARTNERS ASSET MANAGEMENT INC.
$37.26
0.38 (1.03%)
▲
5d:
-0.93%
30d:
-0.88%
90d:
-14.95%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.43
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APAM is currently trading at $37.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.73 to $37.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APAM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$36.73 -
$37.99
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.73 -
$37.99
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.35
Resistance Level
$38.22
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.31
Wall Street Target
$37.75
(+1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Profit Margin
23.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.85
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$36.44
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$36.04
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$37.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 4.6%)
$101.07
(+171%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 4.6%)
$42.69
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 4.6%)
$36.29
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.99
Bull Case
$40.70
(+9%)
Analyst growth 0.3%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$37.00
(-1%)
Market implied 0.3%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case
$25.08
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 9.6
Stabilization Target:
$38.42
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 12:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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