BJRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BJRI - BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
$58.75
-1.94 (-3.20%)
▼
5d:
+4.3%
30d:
+32.47%
90d:
+64.84%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BJRI trades at premium valuation expecting 10.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: BJRI trades at premium valuation expecting 10.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.70
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BJRI is currently trading at $58.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.24 to $56.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.5) compared to its historical average (16.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $53.00, while resistance sits at $62.07. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: BJRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $44.44. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BJRI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $53.00, while resistance sits at $62.07. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: BJRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $44.44. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$45.24 -
$56.76
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading 24.3% above Wall St target ($44.44)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.9% growth with 2.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.24 -
$56.76
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.00
Resistance Level
$62.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.52
Wall Street Target
$44.44
(-24.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.3%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.9% premium
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 16.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.15
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$72.26
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$80.13
(+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$58.71
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.5, Growth: 17.7%)
$95.91
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.7%)
$92.76
(+58%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 17.7%)
$70.27
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.99
Bull Case
$87.52
(+49%)
Analyst growth 31.1%, PE expands to 33.6
Base Case
$79.56
(+35%)
Market implied 31.1%, PE stable at 30.5
Bear Case
$41.27
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BJRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Brian S Krakower
SELL
2600 shares
2026-03-17
C Bradford Richmond
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-12
C Bradford Richmond
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-06
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