BROS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BROS - Dutch Bros Inc.
$52.12
-1.34 (-2.51%)
▼
5d:
+2.18%
30d:
-4.44%
90d:
+10.24%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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8 traders called BROS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BROS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BROS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BROS is currently trading at $52.12, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.27 to $56.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 41.9) compared to its historical average (53.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BROS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $48.32, while resistance sits at $55.45.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.58 (+46.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BROS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $48.32, while resistance sits at $55.45.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.58 (+46.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$51.27 -
$56.48
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 46.9% below Wall St target ($76.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.27 -
$56.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.32
Resistance Level
$55.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.90
Wall Street Target
$76.58
(+46.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
41.9 vs 53.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$48.11
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$44.40
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$40.98
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→53)
$52.23
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 41.9, Growth: 32.5%)
$121.32
(+133%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 32.5%)
$63.67
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 32.5%)
$54.12
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (63x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (42x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 62.50 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.83
Bull Case
$62.93
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 65.6
Base Case
$52.12
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 62.5
Bear Case
$39.87
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 56.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.9 to 53.4
Stabilization Target:
$66.42
(+27.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 6:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BROS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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