BLMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLMN - Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$8.14
-0.14 (-1.69%)
▼
5d:
+2.39%
30d:
+24.27%
90d:
+25.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
BLMN is up 37.2% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $5 2026-07-17 with 4,029 OI. Put ratio: 66% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: BLMN is 7.7% above its trading range ($7.56). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: BLMN is 7.7% above its trading range ($7.56). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.84
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLMN is currently trading at $8.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.71 to $7.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (7.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.53, while resistance sits at $8.72.
Market Sentiment: BLMN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLMN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.53, while resistance sits at $8.72.
Market Sentiment: BLMN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.71 -
$7.56
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BLMN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.7% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.63)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.0% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.71 -
$7.56
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.53
Resistance Level
$8.73
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.32
Wall Street Target
$8.63
(+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.9%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.0% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 7.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.63
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$9.15
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$9.69
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.15
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 11.1%)
$29.56
(+263%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 11.1%)
$11.16
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 11.1%)
$9.39
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case
$18.22
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.0
Base Case
$16.56
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.5
Bear Case
$5.63
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BLMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Rohit Lal
BUY
10000 shares
2026-03-11
Julie T Kunkel
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-05
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Advanced BLMN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BLMN price and gamma walls.