CARR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CARR - Carrier Global Corporation
$63.14
0.96 (1.54%)
▲
5d:
-2.37%
30d:
+2.6%
90d:
-0.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CARR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CARR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.78
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CARR is currently trading at $63.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.18 to $66.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.7) is in line with its historical norms (19.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.12, while resistance sits at $67.06.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.69 (+19.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.12, while resistance sits at $67.06.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.69 (+19.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$61.18 -
$66.23
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($75.69)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 2.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.18 -
$66.23
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.12
Resistance Level
$67.07
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.73
Wall Street Target
$75.69
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.7%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 19.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.71
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$64.28
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$64.86
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$63.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 14.7%)
$106.22
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 14.7%)
$95.30
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$81.01
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.50
Bull Case
$139.90
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.6
Base Case
$127.18
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.4
Bear Case
$43.24
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 5:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CARR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Rick Larsen
BUY
2026-04-07
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-23
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