CBRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CBRL - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,.

RETAIL-EATING PLACES
$30.71
1.54 (5.28%) ▲
5d: -2.48%
30d: +5.68%
90d: -2.2%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026 18d
Smart Money Accumulation

CBRL is down 5.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $40 2026-06-18 with 4,068 OI. Call ratio: 61% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CBRL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.68
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.60
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CBRL is currently trading at $30.71, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.85 to $31.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 57.6) compared to its historical average (46.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $28.50, while resistance sits at $32.40. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $28.85 - $31.00
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 16th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 16th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.3%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.38)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.3% growth with -7.9% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $28.85 - $31.00
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.76 (9.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $28.50
Resistance Level $32.40
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 57.60
Wall Street Target $31.38 (+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -94.2%
Profit Margin -0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.3% premium
PE vs Historical 57.6 vs 46.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $32.95 (+7%)
2-Year Target $35.36 (+15%)
3-Year Target $37.94 (+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 58→47) PE COMPRESSION $30.70 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:11 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tim Moore BUY 2026-03-23
Tim Moore SELL 2026-01-05
Tim Moore BUY 2025-12-31

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Advanced CBRL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CBRL price and gamma walls.

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